What it is for
Markets where the resolution rules carry the risk.
Prediction markets can look simple while hiding ambiguous wording, weak sources, edge cases, or timing traps. This packet makes those risks visible.
Resolution criteria
Clarifies what would count as YES, NO, ambiguous, delayed, or disputed.
Evidence ledger
Separates official sources, platform rules, credible reporting, commentary, and stale evidence.
Counter-case audit
Surfaces the strongest case against the initial read before confidence hardens.
Packet structure
| Market question | Exact wording, URL, venue, deadline, and resolution source. |
| Resolution map | YES / NO / ambiguous / delayed / disputed conditions. |
| Scenario read | Provisional probabilities or weighted paths with caveats. |
| Update triggers | What would change the view before resolution. |
Good fit
- Polymarket / Manifold / Kalshi-style question analysis
- Ambiguous wording or resolution-source risk
- Event questions with a public check date
- Users who want a source-grounded read, not trade instructions
Boundary
Prediction Market Pro is research and scenario analysis. It does not tell users what to buy, sell, size, hedge, or execute.
Quick Market Read
Short review for a simpler event market.
$25
- 1 bounded market/question
- Key source check
- Main resolution risk
- Short scenario read
Prediction Market Pro
Deeper one-off event-market packet.
$75
- Resolution criteria audit
- Source ledger
- Counter-case
- Scenario probabilities
- Update triggers
Watchlist Review
Several related markets.
Custom
- Multiple market links
- Cross-market consistency check
- Shared source ledger