The same Forecast Packet, tuned for market questions — current signals, scenario map, market-moving triggers, and resolution risk.
What public signals would move the “Fed cuts before September” market?
What would have to break for ETH staking yield to compress this cycle?
How likely is an oil spike that touches my Q4 input costs?
Is the market over-pricing the odds of three cuts this year?
What macro signals precede a rotation out of mega-cap tech?
How likely is a shipping disruption touching global lead times?
Polymarket-style questions, resolution risk, and what moves the book.
On-chain and macro signals, scenario maps, cycle risk.
Energy, metals, and input-cost shocks for operators.
Inflation, central banks, geopolitics, and the calendar that matters.
Illustrative market example. Live packets timestamp each signal and cite the source.
A cut by September is the modestly favored path, but it hinges on two more soft inflation prints. The market may be over-pricing certainty.
Research note: the gap between model (58%) and market (62%) is thin. Treat as scenario context — not an instruction to take any position.
Market, crypto, and prediction-market packets map public signals and scenarios. They are not personalized investment, legal, or security advice, and never an instruction to buy, sell, hold, or trade. Signal Atlas is a charting and reasoning surface, not a tout.
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